The Dutch Central Bureau of Statistics presented today
the statistical data on the Unemployment
Benefits for September, 2011 (link in Dutch).
This gave me a good opportunity to dive deeper into their
wonderful Statline database and dig up Unemployment Benefit data over a much longer
period.
Please check out the charts; all data courtesy of www.cbs.nl
All data in this chart courtesy of www.cbs.nl Click to enlarge |
What strikes me in this chart is the correlation
between the economic circumstances and the spreads in numbers of UB’s between
men and women. Bad economic times mean large spreads, while good economic times
mean small spreads.
All data in this chart courtesy of www.cbs.nl Click to enlarge |
All data in this chart courtesy of www.cbs.nl Click to enlarge |
While the inflow for men is much bigger at economic
downturns, the outflow of men because of a job, is also much bigger when better
days arrive. Especially from March- May and during November massive amounts of
men find a job. This has probably to do with the demand for people in the
manufacturing and the building industry that is significantly higher during
these months.
All data in this chart courtesy of www.cbs.nl Click to enlarge |
Although the spreads in inflow and outflow in the
Unemployment Benefits between men and women differ very much, until 2009 there
was virtually no difference between the numbers of men and women that left the
UB without a job. That changed between 2009-2010; this chart shows clearly that much more men
stopped receiving UB without a job, then women during this period. This must be caused by the Dutch comeuppance of the credit crisis. This
difference disappeared again after March 2010, with a clear exception in March
2011.
It is hard to draw conclusions from these charts about
the current economy. Looking at the current spreads between men and women in
numbers of Unemployment Benefits, you would say that we are in better economic
times now. However, this seems contrary to other economic indicators that all point out to a sturdy recession in 2012. In about twelve months, we will know much more.
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