Today the European unemployment figures for October were
presented by Eurostat, the European statistics institute. The EU-27 show an
unemployment rate of 9.8%. Average
unemployment of 10.3% in the Euro-area is
said never to be higher since the beginning of data collection. Here are the
pertinent snips of the Eurostat
Press Release:
Euro
area unemployment rate at 10.3%
EU27
at 9.8%
The
euro area (EA17) seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was 10.3% in October
2011, compared with 10.2% in September. It was 10.1% in October 2010. The EU271
unemployment rate was 9.8% in October 2011, compared with 9.7% in September. It
was 9.6% in October 2010.
Eurostat
estimates that 23.554 million men and women in the EU27, of whom 16.294 million
were in the euro area, were unemployed in October 2011. Compared with September
2011, the number of persons unemployed increased by 130 000 in the EU27 and by
126 000 in the euro area. Compared with October 2010, unemployment rose by 440
000 in the EU27 and by 367 000 in the euro area.
Among
the Member States, the lowest unemployment rates were recorded in Austria
(4.1%), Luxembourg (4.7%) and the Netherlands (4.8%), and the highest in Spain
(22.8%), Greece (18.3% in August 2011) and Latvia (16.2% in the second quarter
of 2011).
Compared
with a year ago, the unemployment rate fell in twelve Member States and
increased in fifteen.
The
largest falls were observed in Estonia (16.1% to 11.3% between the third
quarters of 2010 and 2011), Lithuania (18.3% to 15.0% between the third
quarters of 2010 and 2011) and Latvia (19.3% to 16.2% between the second
quarters of 2010 and 2011).
The
highest increases were registered in Greece (12.9% to 18.3% between August 2010
and August 2011), Spain (20.5% to 22.8%) and Cyprus (6.0% to 8.2%).
I took the September-October 2011 month on month data
of all countries that supplied unemployment figures and put it into two tables.
Countries that didn´t deliver their data for October in time were left out for
convenience: a.o. Greece, the UK and the Baltic States. Inquiring readers
should click the link of Eurostat.
Unemployment month on month for October 2011 All data courtesy of Eurostat |
Unemployment month on month for October 2011 All data courtesy of Eurostat |
Outliers in these data are Portugal, Slovakia,
Croatia, Greece and Spain with an unemployment that is significantly higher
than all other countries. Of these outliers only Croatia showed improvement.
But also here I tried to find the truths and trends
behind the facts, by looking at the longterm unemployment data of both the
PIIGS and the strong Euro-countries (Germany, France, Luxemburg, Finland,
Austria and The Netherlands). These showed some interesting differences.
Youth Unemployment
Unemployment male youngsters. All data courtesy of Eurostat |
Especially in this chart of male youngsters, you can
see how hard the credit crisis hit the PIIGS countries. Although unemployment
among male youngster has always been quite high with a minimum trendline of 5%
and a maximum trendline of 23%, male youth unemployment skyrocketed in the
PIIGS countries, since the crisis broke out.
Unemployment female youngsters. All data courtesy of Eurostat |
The situation for female youngsters has always been
more difficult in Spain, Greece and Italy with unemployment well above the 25%
trendline throughout the years. However, female youth unemployment in Portugal
and especially Ireland also skyrocketed, due to the credit crisis.
Unemployment
Unemployment males above 25. All data courtesy of Eurostat |
This chart shocked me as it ruthlessly showed how
worse the labor situation for males older than 25 had been in Germany throughout the first decade. Where
the PIIGS and the other strong Euro-countries had an unemployment rate of under
7.5%, the Germans scored years of 8+% unemployment. Only in 2010 their
unemployment went structurally beneath the upper trend line. The PIIGS plus
France, but minus Italy have been hit extremely hard by the credit crisis.
Unemployment females above 25. All data courtesy of Eurostat |
Again there is a different image in the female unemployment.
Greece and Spain have been problem zones for female unemployment throughout the
years, although the situation deteriorated clearly by the credit crisis. Portugal,
however, is a clear victim of the crisis. Germany, an outlier throughout the
years with male unemployment, is clearly within the boundaries for female
unemployment.
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