no more, no more, no
more, no more.
Royal Imtech NV (IM:NA),
the Dutch engineering and Consultancy agency has been involved in one of the
biggest Dutch soap opera’s of 2012/2013.
Some of the contents of this article have been subject to a rectification. Please read this rectification first before you continue with reading this article.
It started on 20 November 2012, when ABN Amro analyst Teun Teeuwisse rang the alarm bell on the cash position of Imtech Germany. Here are the pertinent snips of a news message in Het Financieele Dagblad (www.fd.nl):
It started on 20 November 2012, when ABN Amro analyst Teun Teeuwisse rang the alarm bell on the cash position of Imtech Germany. Here are the pertinent snips of a news message in Het Financieele Dagblad (www.fd.nl):
The concerns have been
concentrated on one of the fastest growing departments of Imtech Germany. A
liquidity problem emerged there, as the large customers of Imtech, like Audi
and the Berlin Airport, started to pay their bills later and later. Imtech compensates
the questionable payment behaviour of its customers by paying its suppliers
later itself. Payment of those bills is postponed up to 300 days.
According to ABN
Amro-analyst Teun Teeuwisse, the liquidity problem of Imtech is so big that
Imtech might not be able to meet the agreements with its banks (i.e. covenants)
anymore. In this case, a follow-on stock offering or a renegotiation of the
banking conditions would be inevitable.
The unthinkable happened: Imtech contacted the ABN Amro and angrily
confronted Teun Teeuwisse with his findings; what the hell had he been thinking?!
ABN Amro slightly pulled the chicken switch and presented a
refurbished version of its analyst report. However, the conclusions remained
largely intact, just as its sell-advice.
The next leg came on 8 February 2013, when – out of the blue
– Imtech made a public statement that it had to write off €100 million on its groundbreaking
Polish project: to develop the Polish adventure park Adventure
World Warszawa, in combination with two ‘green’ energy plants.
I heard this statement by the (former) Imtech CEO René van
der Bruggen and I was flabbergasted by the height of this write off amount. What
went wrong there?!
Afterwards, I saw a picture in ‘Het FD’ of a desolate piece
of ground with
only one pitiful arch standing. Was this supposed to be a future
adventure park, which should be finished in 2015?! Was this piece of ground a location on which a
large share of the €100 million had been spent already? I immediately guessed
that this was ‘not just a simple bread and butter affair’, but that there had
to be some kind of fraud involved.
A few weeks later, on 27 February 2013, the rookie CEO of
Imtech Gerard van de Aast, announced that not €100 million had to be written
off, but no less than €300 million: €150 million on the German operation and
€150 million on the Polish project. This led to my second
article:
The figure of €300
million in write-offs becomes even more shocking when we look at the personnel
number, the revenues and profits of Imtech's German and East-European operation
in 2011: with 5326 employees, the German/East-European subsidiary of this Dutch
company collected €1506 million in revenues and an EBITA (Earnings before
Interest, Taxes and Amortization) of €127 million (€107.8 million in 2010).
In other words, this
write-off blew Imtech's EBITA of 2011, 2010 and partly 2009 skyhigh. Per
personnel member, a mindboggling amount of €56,326 in revenues is down the
drain. The German / East-European Imtech personnel worked from January until 15
March 2012 for free! Can you believe it?! I can’t!
The only ‘optimistic
and non-cynical’ reasons for such mega-losses could be that:
- Imtech spent €300 million on salaries, purchases of materials & tools and on hiring subcontractors for the execution of new and existing projects in Germany and Poland, without checking if the people, who arranged these assignments, had any money to spend;
- Nobody bothered to send an invoice in Germany and Poland for at least three months in 2012 or forgot to do so in a substantial number of cases for a number of years in a row, without reporting this properly;
- The invoices actually had been sent, but everybody forgot to check if these lost invoices had been paid at all. Of course, nobody had bothered to report this to the Dutch head-office;
Later, in an interview with the paper version of Het
Financieele Dagblad (no link available),
the new CEO Gerard van de Aast more or less admitted that there had been fraud
involved in the Polish project– or irregularities, as he called it – and I
expect that the same will happen on the events in Germany, sooner or later.
- How could it otherwise be that something simple, like late payments in Germany lead to losses of no less than €150 million Euro? Like I calculated, this is more than €56,000 per employee in Germany or 2,5 months of revenues, down the drain;
- And how could this mega-loss be pushed under the German carpet, without Dutch headquarters hearing or knowing anything about this? Your guess is as good as mine;
- Or DID Dutch headquarters know about this inevitable mega-loss, but decided the headoffice to assume the ostrich position? Who knows!
The stupidest thing that Imtech did in November 2012, was
trying to kill the messenger; in this case Teun Teeuwisse of ABN Amro. This is
always a tell-tale signal that you will find a huge pile of manure, when you
start to dig deeply in the financials of such a firm.
One thing is certain: although the whole Imtech soap is far
from over yet, the Polish sidestory has been finished by today.
Adventure World Warszawa(AWW) came with the following
crystal-clear message:
- Adventure World Warsaw announces today that it has reached an out of court settlement with Royal Imtech and its affiliates. The settlement is final and binding. It resolves in a consensual manner all the issues on which the parties were divided in relation to the realization of Adventure World Warsaw and ancillary projects. The settlement also ends the cooperation between the parties. The parties will not disclose any financial details of the settlement.
I am of course very
curious how much Imtech will pay to AWW in penalties / damage restitution and
I would be very grateful when anybody would
mail me this amount, especially my Polish readers or Dutch / German insiders in
this story. Of course this amount would be printed strictly anonymously. You
can find my email address under my profile picture.
One thing is sure: some hedge funds / private equity
companies still don’t trust Imtech: as of today, these funds/companies are still holding a short position of 8.35% in
Imtech; this percentage is based on the data from the Authority Financial
Markets.
This massive short still exists, in spite of the imminent
promotion of the fund to the AEX, the Amsterdam main index; something which would
normally spur the rates of such a stock.
This must be a tell-tale signal that this article has not been
the last episode of the Imtech soap.
AWW buys of Imtech, not the other way around
ReplyDeleteNice analyses, but for the assumption that Imtech payed AWW; it is off course the other way around.
ReplyDelete