This weekend I had the pleasure of having a
telephone conversation with one of my latest readers, who had recently
discovered my website and the information on it. Let’s call him ‘John’ (not his
real name).
Without disclosing much about his
background, it suffices to say that John became one of the ‘victims’ of the
Dutch technical service provider Imtech. He lost quite a lot of his own
savings’ money on this tech fund under jeopardy.
While his personal background, as well as
his shareholders ‘comfort zone’ lay in the oil and gas industry, he was
attracted both by the extremely low price of Imtech stock and the earlier
reputation of this technical service provider. He decided to give it a shot and
invested heavily in Imtech stock, without doing proper research into this
company. It was a choice John would deeply regret soon.
As so many other people, John thought that
Imtech’s drawbacks, with respect to its loss-bearing subsidiaries in Poland and
Germany, would be of a temporary nature.
The good reputation and specialized
knowledge of the company with respect to their different service areas, as well
as the healthy order portfolio, would deliver the necessary cash-flows to pay
back most of the enormous debt position of Imtech. The sale of a few company
parts would smooth down the remaining edges and supply the necessary working
capital.
Eventually, the remaining parts of Imtech
would become a healthy and mostly debt-free company again, he thought, with a
good order portfolio and sufficient new opportunities. In that case, he would
have hit the jackpot, as the stock rate could have exploded then. And hey, how
much money can you lose on a stock of less than €1 per share, right?!
Unfortunately, this was not going to
happen. When John would have checked
the balance sheet and P&L of Imtech and would have followed the
news, he would have found out that the enormous debt of well over €1 billion,
in combination with the skyhigh interest rates of more than 8%, made debt
reduction almost a ‘mission impossible’.
And then we are not even speaking about the
obligation of the company to gather a working capital of €400 million in 2014,
in order to meet the bank covenants to this respect.
Other worrisome factors were the large amounts
of goodwill on the balance sheet of Imtech and the circumstance, that it is
very hard to sell parts of a company for a decent price, of which the people and
the knowledge base are the main (and almost only) asset.
In such companies, the net worth is almost
equal to the reputation of the company. And Imtech’s reputation lay in tatters
at that very moment.
What happened with Imtech, since my March
2014 article (see the aforementioned link), is history. Imtech had indeed mounting
liquidity problems, due to the heavy debt burden, the huge 8+% interest and the
‘impossible’ goals in the bank covenants.
And after every presentation of quarterly data
since March, the investors and shareholders felt that “the worst had yet to
come” with Imtech: problems got bigger, losses increased and there seemed to be
no light at the end of the tunnel, in spite of the soothing words of CEO Gerard
van der Aast at every presentation.
Royal Imtech's year-to-date price development Chart courtesy of bloomberg.com Click to enlarge |
In order to stay afloat, the company tried
to sell some company parts, but it nevertheless had to turn to its shareholders
repeatedly. These took a few heavy blows on the chin, in spite of the recent news
that Imtech got slightly more favourable interest rates from its syndicated lenders.
One month ago, the company created total
confusion when it offered 60 billion additional shares, at €0.01 a piece, in a
limited access primary offering (called a “claim emissie” in Dutch).
Shareholders had to decide between cutting
their losses, while their share in Imtech would vaporize under this tsunami of
new stock, and buying many more shares in it, in order to keep their interest
in the company intact. It was truly like ‘being stuck between a rock and a hard
place’. You could also justifiably call it a lose-lose situation.
Royal Imtech's last month's chart Chart courtesy of bloomberg.com Click to enlarge |
A trading day like a roller coaster ride
followed, in which the price for Imtech shares and claims seemed to go through
the roof. This was a consequence of the complicated price calculations, which
nobody understood properly.
That trading day brought a mixture of old
stock, new stock and tradeable claims for sale and it was virtually impossible
to set the correct prices; for traders as well as for the stock exchange
itself. However, in the end – when the gunsmoke had lifted – the shareholders
ended with virtually nothing in hand.
The lessons that many people and especially
John learned with Imtech, are also very much applicable to other penny stocks:
- A penny stock with a rate of less than €1
can still go down 99 times: one cent at the time. And please don’t think that
this won’t happen, because the stock price is already very low;
- The circumstances that turned a company
into a penny stock, are the same circumstances that could kill the company
eventually;
- Throwing good money at bad money – with
Imtech this happened during the claim emission – is the worst thing that can
happen for an investor. So sometimes it is better to cut one’s losses, than to
endure the full ride down the drain;
- When someone invests heavily in a losing penny stock, he doesn’t lose pennies, but loads of hard-earned pounds.
So the next time when you want to invest in
a penny stock for the sake of it, without doing your homework properly, please
think about John. Then his losses could save you some serious heartache.
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