These are trying times in The Netherlands, with respect to
the economy. Everybody knows and nobody denies it.
Trying times for the workers and consumers, who have to deal
with:
- Dropping prices for their houses;
- More and higher direct and indirect taxes;
- And last, but not least: measures of wage restraint and sometimes even wage reduction from their employers.
These measurements are sometimes vital for their companies to survive, but have a disastrous effect
on domestic consumption.
And it are also trying times for the enterpreneurs and
retailers – especially the ones that can’t export their products and produce. They have to deal with:
- A ubiquitous domestic consumer strike in The Netherlands;
- Soaring local taxes;
- Deteriorating general circumstances for their shops and companies;
- And also with a government that has increased their taxes and expenses too.
Still, the only viable way to make things better for the entrepreneurs
is taking care of domestic consumption in The Netherlands, by increasing the dispensable income of consumers and workers through wage increases and real tax-breaks.
All companies, except for the very larges ones and the ones that export the majority
of their products, have to deal with the plummeted consumption in The
Netherlands.
This is irrespective of whether these companies deliver to
consumers themselves (b2c – business to consumer) or to other companies (b2b),
which on their behalf deliver directly to consumers.
So, as long as you don’t solve the economic problems for the
consumers – higher taxes, dropping housing prices, rising unemployment, minimal yields on savings and (much)
lower income – you won’t solve the crisis for the small and medium enterprises
(SME) and the retail industry in The Netherlands.
You just don't!
Unfortunately, this message falls on deaf ears with many
politicians in The Hague; especially the ones who worship “Captain
Entrepreneur” alone and largely ignore the normal workers and consumers, who should take
care of Captain Entrepreneur’s sales and profit.
One of those politicians is Sybrand van Haersma Buma: the
CDA (Christian-Democrat) partyleader, who should make his grassroots forget Jan
Peter Balkenende, but whose achievements in the party are not very
distinctive until now.
Today, Van Haersma Buma presented a plan to sponsor the entrepreneurs
of the small and medium enterprises. Although one ideas in it was not bad and even sounded very sensible, his party blatantly failed to address the real
problem again: the striking consumers and the causes for this consumer strike.
Here are the pertinent snips from the CDA’s plans:
Today, the CDA party
comes with a number of aimed measures to stimulate Small and Medium Enterprises
(SME).
The SME enterprises are the backbone of our economy, but they currently go through rough
times. That is the reason that the CDA wants to decrease the taxes on profits
by half: to 10% from 20%.
The duty for employers to pay two years of salary to sick
workers, should be reduced to one year.
We want also that starting
entrepreneurs, with maximally three employees, will get a discount on their
employer’s taxes for a maximum time period of three years. This will make it
easier for successful freelancers to make the step to an enterprise with
personnel.
The CDA sees all
companies with 50 employees or less as SME-companies. Especially these
companies have gotten the heaviest blows from the crisis.
SME accounts for 60% of
employment in The Netherlands. This turns the SME in the engine of the economy
and the mortar between the 'bricks of the society'. Only 32% of the Dutch companies, which requested a
loan last year, had actually one granted to them. This is the lowest percentage
in the Euro-zone.
In the meantime, one in ten workers is freelancers. However,
freelancers hardly get the chance to grow into a company with personnel. This
is also something that we want to endorse with our proposals.
Statistics, like the data that the CDA mentions here (second red and bold text), always sound impressive, but are very hard to check on their truthfulness. I have my doubts about these statistics and the allegations that come with it, but I didn't have the time yet to investigate them.
Nevertheless, as a long-time bank employee (now over six years) at the business lending department of a large bank, I know that the banks have good reasons for not granting additional loans and credit lines to many of their SME customers.
The 'special management' departments of the large banks (which manage the customers in distress) work at overtime these days and the number of credit lines under jeopardy is very high currently. The banks simply don't want to run the risk of losing too many bad loans, as their buffers need to be at high levels, due to Basel III rules and the upcoming ECB stress tests.
The banks want to supply loans, but only when they are fairly sure that these will be paid back. That is simply their duty towards their customers and savers/lenders. As Kees de Kort, the savvy macro economist of BNR stated today: "The healthy, well-managed companies with the good business plans still get credit lines, but the others simply don't". I have little to add to this statement.
I actually agree with the CDA’s plan to let companies pay
for only one, instead of two years of salary for sick workers. One year is already quite long,
especially when there is no correlation at all between the illness and the former activities of the worker at his employer.
Two years is indeed an excessive time period and therefore
it can burden (especially small) employers with enormous costs, in case of a chronically
sick worker.
Consequently, this leads to general behaviour of
stakeholders, in which nobody is really interested in caring for the sick
worker himself:
- employers;
- bureaus for health care & labour circumstances (i.e. ‘Arbo-organisaties’ in Dutch);
- insurance companies;
- UWV (the executive organization for social security for employee's).
On top of that, this ‘two year payment for sick workers’ measure
scares many small would-be employers sh*tless, when they consider to hire personnel.
They are very afraid that such personnel becomes ill and consequently saddles them up with two
years of salary payments-in-vain and on top of that the necessity of hiring
extra personnel to replace the sick workers.
That is why I endorse this particular CDA plan.
However, the other two plans are no good idea!
Freelancers
and SME-companies already pay fewer taxes in comparison with normal
workers, due to a host of deductions and tax breaks. So why should you
diminish the taxes of freelancers and SME companies by another fifty percent anyway (plan 2)?! This is even more discriminatory
towards normal workers, who are in reality the brick-and-mortar of the society:
where would Captain Entrepreneur be without his workers-turning-consumers?!
Also the third plan is ridiculous for various reasons: by
granting much lower employer’s taxes to small entrepreneurs, the CDA hopes to
spur freelancers and SME companies to hire new personnel. But:
- First, most freelancers don’t want to have the fuzz of
having personnel, as they prefer working on their own.
- If they would have liked to have personnel, they
would have started a ‘normal’ SME company in the first place;
- Second, the duty to pay at least one year for sick workers, is still a much bigger dissatisfier for SME companies towards hiring personnel than the employer’s taxes on workers;
- Third, if the small SME companies and freelancers don’t have to pay these taxes
anymore, then the workers and larger companies should pay extra tax money for them instead: it’s a zero
sum equasion. This increases their burden;
- And last, but not least: this whole CDA plan fails to address the real problem and the reason behind the consumer’s strike. That is the diminished purchase power and lack of confidence in the future, of the normal workers / consumers.
The years of austerity and wage restraint, since the crisis
started in 2008, have struck an enormous blow to the purchase power of many,
many workers.
And so did the numerous tax and duty increases and the increased
costs of living, caused by all kinds of extra (government-spurred) expenses.
The life savings of these consumers, which were held at the
banks, were rewarded with insulting interest rates. And on top of that, these savers had
to pay ridiculous taxes, based upon ‘virtual investment yields of 4%’, which had been laid upon them by the Dutch Internal Revenue Service. Yields, which no saver
achieves anymore these days.
That is the root cause behind the problems of so many SME entrepreneurs
and retailers. But that is something that you don’t hear from the CDA.
However, the Dutch Central Bureau of Statistics DID write
about that:
The median personal
capital of households in the Netherlands was 27.000 euros on 1 January 2012, a
reduction by 10% relative to the beginning of 2011. Since the onset of the
recession late 2008, the financial position of households has deteriorated
continuously.
Early 2008, the median
personal capital of households still was 47.000 euros, i.e. 20.000 euros more
than at the beginning of 2012. The value depreciation of privately-owned
residential property (the main asset of households) largely accounts for the
loss of personal capital. The value was reduced from 256.000 euros early 2008
to 231.000 euros early 2012. Approximately 57% of all households own the homes
they live in.
At the same time, the
household mortgage debt increased from 143.000 euros early 2008 to 163.000
euros early 2012. About 48% of households have mortgages on their homes.
Compared to the
situation at the beginning of 2008, the number of households whose debts exceed
their assets has grown dramatically. Early 2012, some 830.000 households found
themselves in this predicament, nearly 2.5 times as many as in 2008.
And today, my point about SME-entrepreneurs and retailers, which
can’t exist without the availability of consumers who are willing to spend, was proven seemingly. A large
chain of jeweller’s stores, Siebel, closed the doors of all its shops for
undisclosed reasons.
The following snips come from an article in Het Financieele
Dagblad:
This Friday, the chain
of jeweller’s stores Siebel has closed the doors of all its 36 branches in The
Netherlands. This is stated by the company on its corporate website.
The store chain states
that it will soon shed more light on its own future and that of its personnel.
According to the latest data, 175 people work at Siebel currently.
After having had
contact with Siebel, executive Niels Suijker of labour union FNV is still
clueless about what is going on at the large jeweller chain. However, insiders assured
him that the store chain is not going to default.
It might be true indeed that Siebel is not going to default
(see red and
bold text).
However, unless there is a massive fraud going on within
this organization, of which the Siebel executives want to get rid off (pure
speculation – EL), there is
something very wrong in the daily business of Siebel.
As far as I know, the Siebel case is unprecented: I have
never heard of a retail chain which has been closed completely, while being ‘at full
swing’. That is really unheard of and it is definitely not something that the
owners do out of luxury or boredom.
Therefore, I assume that this company will be liquidated by
its owners (the investment corporation Janivo), in order to get as much money out of it as necessary,
before a default or bankruptcy occurs in the (near) future.
When the Siebel chain
would have been for sale (soon), it would be important to keep daily business
running, but that does obviously not happen.
Consequently, I suspect that the striking consumers in The
Netherlands have caused an untimely end for the Siebel store chain, just like
these consumers have caused the untimely end of so many other store(chain)s.
Unlike the CDA thinks, it are the customers who decide upon
life or death of many retail and SME enterprises: not a few subsidies and
tax-breaks.
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